Here's how the time reversal test works and how you'd check it in different contexts:
Understanding the Time Reversal Test
The time reversal test checks for symmetry in time. It asks: If we calculate an index from period 0 to period 1, and then calculate the index from period 1 back to period 0, should we get a result consistent with the original calculation? Ideally, the product of the two indices should be 1 (or very close to it, depending on the acceptable margin of error).
How to Check (depending on the context):
Let's say we have a price index formula. We'll use *P* for prices, *Q* for quantities, and subscripts 0 and 1 to represent the two periods. Different index number formulas exist (Laspeyres, Paasche, Fisher, etc.).
1. Laspeyres Price Index:
* Formula (0 to 1): `L01 = Σ(P1 * Q0) / Σ(P0 * Q0)`
* Formula (1 to 0): `L10 = Σ(P0 * Q1) / Σ(P1 * Q1)`
* Time Reversal Test: `L01 * L10 = ?` This generally *doesn't* equal 1. Laspeyres fails the time reversal test.
2. Paasche Price Index:
* Formula (0 to 1): `P01 = Σ(P1 * Q1) / Σ(P0 * Q1)`
* Formula (1 to 0): `P10 = Σ(P0 * Q0) / Σ(P1 * Q0)`
* Time Reversal Test: `P01 * P10 = ?` This also generally *doesn't* equal 1. Paasche fails the time reversal test.
3. Fisher Ideal Index: The Fisher index is designed to satisfy the time reversal test.
* Formula (0 to 1): `F01 = √(L01 * P01)`
* Formula (1 to 0): `F10 = √(L10 * P10)`
* Time Reversal Test: `F01 * F10 ≈ 1` (It will be approximately 1 due to rounding errors in calculations; ideally it equals 1).
In Summary:
There's no single formula. You apply the time reversal test by:
1. Identifying the index number formula you're using (Laspeyres, Paasche, Fisher, etc.).
2. Calculating the index going from period 0 to period 1.
3. Calculating the index going from period 1 to period 0.
4. Multiplying the two indices. If the result is approximately 1, the formula satisfies the time reversal test. If not, it fails. The acceptability of deviations from 1 depends on the context and required precision.