What Is the Difference Between the Unit-Specific and Population-Average Models in HLM?

Hierarchical linear modeling, or HLM, is a regression analysis tool that examines data from more than one level. It is particularly suitable for education studies, since it can be used to study data at the individual student level, the school level, and the school district level simultaneously. This method should be used when the data are from different levels within a study, when different groups within the study have different sizes, and when the relationships between variables may vary from group to group. HLM is also the title of a statistical analysis software package, published by Scientific Software International, that uses hierarchical linear modeling.
  1. Unit-Specific Models

    • Within HLM, there are two ways of reporting an analysis of the data depending upon the aims of the research. Unit-specific models attempt to describe how the affects of independent variables vary across the particular units. The value of a random effect is held constant as the results are compared from unit to unit. The scale of the interpretation is limited to the groups and levels of the study and does not attempt to expand beyond that.

    Population Average Models

    • Population average models are used for estimating probabilities for the entire population. The random effect is averaged, and the results of it are looked at over the population as a whole. The statistical interpretations derived from the study are not limited to the subjects and groups involved in the study but are extrapolated to include a much larger group.

    Statistical Differences

    • Statistically, unit-specific results are more sensitive to the specifics of the research design and make more assumptions about the variables and the data. Erroneous assumptions about variable effects and distributions may distort results in unit-specific models. Population average models rely on fewer assumptions, so they usually have stronger standard error measures.

    Appropriateness of Model Type

    • The unit-specific approach is appropriate when you look at how particular independent variables affected dependent variables in specific locations or groups. For example, how class size and student socioeconomic status, or SES, affected the probability of grade repetition in local schools would probably be reported using the unit-specific model. The population average model would be appropriate if you were seeking to make predictions regarding how a variable would have the same effects across the nation.

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